Sporting Kansas City 11%Draw 22%Philadelphia Union 66%Expected goals 1.02 – 2.45
66%
Betarazi pick
Philadelphia Union to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Philadelphia Union travel to face Sporting Kansas City on Sunday 20 September in the Major League Soccer, with Children's Mercy Park the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Sporting Kansas City are 15th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting Kansas City, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Los Angeles FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Philadelphia Union, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over San Diego, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Philadelphia Union, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Sporting Kansas City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Kansas City 1.0 xG, Philadelphia Union 2.5 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Kansas City 11%, draw 22%, Philadelphia Union 66%.
Lower-risk option: Philadelphia Union or draw (89%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Philadelphia Union to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Kansas City11%fair 8.80 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.50
Philadelphia Union66%fair 1.50 · @1.44
3.47Expected goals
1.02Sporting Kansas City xG
2.45Philadelphia Union xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–38%
1–18%
0–38%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 1.0 – 2.5 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✓
66%
1.50
1.44
Double chance
Philadelphia Union or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Draw no bet
Philadelphia Union (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Philadelphia Union -1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Philadelphia Union to score first✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
WLLLDL
13 Sep
vs Los Angeles FC
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ FC Dallas
3–4
L
30 Aug
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
24 Aug
@ Atlanta United FC
1–2
L
20 Aug
vs St. Louis City
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Colorado Rapids
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
WWWWDD
14 Sep
@ San Diego
5–0
W
10 Sep
vs FC Cincinnati
5–0
W
6 Sep
vs CF Montreal
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ Austin
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Inter Miami
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Kansas City and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Philadelphia Union to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Philadelphia Union 66%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Children's Mercy Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CF Montreal0
Columbus Crew2
New England Revolution4
Orlando City SC2
DC United1
Charlotte2
FC Cincinnati2
Toronto FC1