St. Louis City 65%Draw 20%Toronto FC 16%Expected goals 2.22 – 1.00
84%
Betarazi pick
St. Louis City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: St. Louis City to win @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSt. Louis City to win ✓65% · @1.65
Double chanceSt. Louis City or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
St. Louis City vs Toronto FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Sunday 20 September: St. Louis City v Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer, played at Energizer Park. In the table, St. Louis City are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 34 matches; Toronto FC are 12th (lower half) with 39. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
St. Louis City, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Colorado Rapids, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Toronto FC, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Orlando City SC, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours St. Louis City, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Toronto FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Louis City 2.2 xG, Toronto FC 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Louis City 65%, draw 20%, Toronto FC 16%.
Lower-risk option: St. Louis City or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: St. Louis City to win @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was St. Louis City or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Louis City 2–1 Toronto FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Louis City65%fair 1.55 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.00
Toronto FC16%fair 6.41 · @4.33
3.22Expected goals
2.22St. Louis City xG
1.00Toronto FC xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: St. Louis City 2.2 – 1.0 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Louis City to win✓
65%
1.55
1.65 ▲
Double chance
St. Louis City or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.50
Draw no bet
St. Louis City (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
St. Louis City -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
St. Louis City to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
St. Louis City ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Louis City / FT St. Louis City✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
St. Louis City – last 6
WWDWDW
17 Sep
@ Colorado Rapids
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Minnesota United FC
4–2
W
10 Sep
@ Portland Timbers
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
3–1
W
31 Aug
vs FC Dallas
3–3
D
23 Aug
vs Houston Dynamo
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Toronto FC – last 6
LWDDWD
13 Sep
@ Orlando City SC
0–3
L
10 Sep
vs Nashville SC
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Chicago Fire
4–4
D
30 Aug
vs New York City FC
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Inter Miami
2–1
W
20 Aug
vs Charlotte
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Louis City and Toronto FC.
What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is St. Louis City or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win St. Louis City vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers St. Louis City have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Toronto FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in St. Louis City vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is St. Louis City 2–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is St. Louis City vs Toronto FC?
St. Louis City vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Energizer Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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