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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nashville SC v Chicago Fire: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Geodis Park
3–0
FT
Nashville SC 58%Draw 21%Chicago Fire 21% Expected goals 1.98 – 1.10
79%
Betarazi pick

Nashville SC or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultNashville SC to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceNashville SC or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 20 September the Major League Soccer brings Nashville SC against Chicago Fire at Geodis Park. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Nashville SC are 1st, leading the league, on 77 points after 34 matches; Chicago Fire are 4th (among the top four) with 55. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nashville SC, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Inter Miami, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Chicago Fire, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to New England Revolution, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nashville SC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Chicago Fire.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nashville SC 2.0 xG, Chicago Fire 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nashville SC 58%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Nashville SC or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nashville SC or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nashville SC 1–1 Chicago Fire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nashville SC58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.80
Chicago Fire21%fair 4.83 · @3.80
3.08Expected goals
1.98Nashville SC xG
1.10Chicago Fire xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Nashville SC 2.0 – 1.1 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNashville SC to win ✓58%1.721.75
Double chanceNashville SC or draw ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.50
Draw no betNashville SC (draw no bet) ✓74%1.36–
Asian handicapChicago Fire +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreNashville SC to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultNashville SC ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC ✓37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.09–

Recent results

Nashville SC – last 6

DLDWWW
13 Sep@ Inter Miami2–2D
10 Sep@ Toronto FC1–2L
5 Sep@ New York City FC0–0D
30 Augvs FC Cincinnati4–0W
23 Augvs Columbus Crew3–2W
20 Aug@ New York Red Bulls1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chicago Fire – last 6

LDDDLD
13 Sepvs New England Revolution1–2L
10 Sepvs Inter Miami1–1D
6 Sep@ Toronto FC4–4D
29 Aug@ Seattle Sounders2–2D
26 Aug@ Monterrey1–2L
23 Aug@ New York Red Bulls1–1D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Chicago Fire v Nashville SC1–0
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?

Our pick is Nashville SC or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?

On our numbers Nashville SC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chicago Fire 21%.

How many goals will there be in Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?

Our predicted score is Nashville SC 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Geodis Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.