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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Inter Miami v New York City FC: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Nu Stadium
2–0
FT
Inter Miami 66%Draw 21%New York City FC 13% Expected goals 2.46 – 1.08
66%
Betarazi pick

Inter Miami to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultInter Miami to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceInter Miami or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Inter Miami vs New York City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Inter Miami welcome New York City FC to Nu Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Thursday 15 October (00:30 WAT). In the table, Inter Miami are 2nd, among the top four, on 60 points after 34 matches; New York City FC are 11th (lower half) with 42. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Inter Miami, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over DC United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

New York City FC, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chicago Fire, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Inter Miami, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for New York City FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Inter Miami 2.5 xG, New York City FC 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Inter Miami 66%, draw 21%, New York City FC 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Inter Miami or draw (87%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Inter Miami to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter Miami 2–1 New York City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Inter Miami66%fair 1.52 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.50
New York City FC13%fair 7.69 · @5.00
3.54Expected goals
2.46Inter Miami xG
1.08New York City FC xG
66%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Inter Miami 2.5 – 1.1 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInter Miami to win ✓66%1.521.44
Double chanceInter Miami or draw ✓87%1.151.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.511.40
Draw no betInter Miami (draw no bet) ✓84%1.20–
Asian handicapInter Miami -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.89–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
First team to scoreInter Miami to score first ✓68%1.48–
Half-time resultInter Miami ahead at half-time ✓51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Inter Miami / FT Inter Miami ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Inter Miami – last 6

WLDWDD
11 Octvs DC United4–0W
28 Sep@ Columbus Crew1–2L
21 Sepvs San Diego2–2D
17 Sepvs Cruz Azul2–0W
13 Sepvs Nashville SC2–2D
10 Sep@ Chicago Fire1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

New York City FC – last 6

LDLWLD
10 Oct@ Chicago Fire1–2L
27 Sep@ Atlanta United FC2–2D
19 Sepvs New York Red Bulls0–1L
13 Sep@ Real Salt Lake2–0W
10 Sepvs New England Revolution1–2L
5 Sepvs Nashville SC0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Inter Miami and New York City FC.

Inter Miami vs New York City FC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inter Miami vs New York City FC?

Our pick is Inter Miami to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Inter Miami vs New York City FC?

On our numbers Inter Miami have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and New York City FC 13%.

How many goals will there be in Inter Miami vs New York City FC?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Inter Miami vs New York City FC?

Our predicted score is Inter Miami 2–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Inter Miami vs New York City FC?

Inter Miami vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Nu Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.