Value bet: Philadelphia Union to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Philadelphia Union travel to face Chicago Fire on Thursday 15 October in the Major League Soccer, with Soldier Field the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Chicago Fire are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50.
Current form
Chicago Fire, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over New York City FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Philadelphia Union, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Real Salt Lake, at home. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Philadelphia Union, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Chicago Fire.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chicago Fire 1.6 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chicago Fire 36%, draw 21%, Philadelphia Union 43%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Philadelphia Union to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chicago Fire 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chicago Fire36%fair 2.78 · @2.38
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.60
Philadelphia Union43%fair 2.31 · @2.50
3.43Expected goals
1.63Chicago Fire xG
1.80Philadelphia Union xG
68%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–25%
From our goals model: Chicago Fire 1.6 – 1.8 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✓
43%
2.31
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.36
Draw no bet
Philadelphia Union (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Chicago Fire +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Philadelphia Union to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Chicago Fire – last 6
WWWLLD
10 Oct
vs New York City FC
2–1
W
7 Oct
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
3–1
W
27 Sep
@ Charlotte
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Nashville SC
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs New England Revolution
1–2
L
10 Sep
vs Inter Miami
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
WWWWWW
11 Oct
vs Real Salt Lake
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Orlando City SC
4–2
W
20 Sep
@ Sporting Kansas City
4–3
W
14 Sep
@ San Diego
5–0
W
10 Sep
vs FC Cincinnati
5–0
W
6 Sep
vs CF Montreal
2–0
W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Philadelphia Union 43%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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