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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Toronto FC v Orlando City SC: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · BMO Field
3–3
FT
Toronto FC 42%Draw 21%Orlando City SC 37% Expected goals 1.93 – 1.82
72%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
2

Value bet: Orlando City SC to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultToronto FC to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.54

Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Thursday 15 October: Toronto FC v Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer, played at BMO Field. In the table, Toronto FC are 12th, lower half, on 39 points after 34 matches; Orlando City SC are 8th (upper half) with 46.

Current form

Toronto FC, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over CF Montreal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Orlando City SC, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Columbus Crew, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Orlando City SC 3–0 Toronto FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Toronto FC 1.9 xG, Orlando City SC 1.8 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 72% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Toronto FC 42%, draw 21%, Orlando City SC 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.36.
  • Price worth noting: Orlando City SC to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toronto FC 1–1 Orlando City SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Toronto FC42%fair 2.40 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Orlando City SC37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
3.75Expected goals
1.93Toronto FC xG
1.82Orlando City SC xG
72%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.9 – 1.8 Orlando City SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToronto FC to win ✗42%2.402.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓72%1.401.36
Draw no betToronto FC (draw no bet)53%1.89–
Asian handicapOrlando City SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
First team to scoreToronto FC to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toronto FC / FT Toronto FC ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.54–

Recent results

Toronto FC – last 6

WLLLWD
10 Octvs CF Montreal2–1W
27 Sep@ Nashville SC0–2L
20 Sep@ St. Louis City1–3L
13 Sep@ Orlando City SC0–3L
10 Sepvs Nashville SC2–1W
6 Sepvs Chicago Fire4–4D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Orlando City SC – last 6

WLLLWW
11 Octvs Columbus Crew3–2W
27 Sep@ Philadelphia Union2–4L
20 Sep@ New England Revolution2–4L
17 Sep@ Columbus Crew1–2L
13 Sepvs Toronto FC3–0W
10 Sep@ Atlanta United FC3–2W
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Sep 2026Orlando City SC v Toronto FC3–0
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?

On our numbers Toronto FC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Orlando City SC 37%.

How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?

Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 Orlando City SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC?

Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.