New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNew York Red Bulls to win ✗49% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

New York Red Bulls welcome Toronto FC to Sports Illustrated Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 18 October (00:30 WAT). In the table, New York Red Bulls are 10th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Toronto FC are 12th (lower half) with 39. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

New York Red Bulls, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to DC United, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Toronto FC, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Orlando City SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give New York Red Bulls 1.9 xG, Toronto FC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – New York Red Bulls 49%, draw 20%, Toronto FC 31%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York Red Bulls 1–1 Toronto FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

New York Red Bulls49%fair 2.02 · @2.00

Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60

Toronto FC31%fair 3.27 · @3.00

3.31Expected goals

1.88New York Red Bulls xG

1.43Toronto FC xG

67%Both score

64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–19%

1–27%

1–07%

2–27%

2–06%

From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.9 – 1.4 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	New York Red Bulls to win ✗	49%	2.02	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.25	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	67%	1.50	1.40
Draw no bet	New York Red Bulls (draw no bet) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Asian handicap	Toronto FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	–
First team to score	New York Red Bulls to score first ✗	55%	1.83	–
Half-time result	New York Red Bulls ahead at half-time ✗	37%	2.68	–
Half-time / full-time	HT New York Red Bulls / FT New York Red Bulls ✗	30%	3.37	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.83	–

New York Red Bulls – last 6

LWLWWL

15 Oct	@ DC United	1–2	L
11 Oct	vs San Diego	4–1	W
1 Oct	vs St. Louis City	0–3	L
19 Sep	@ New York City FC	1–0	W
13 Sep	@ Columbus Crew	1–0	W
10 Sep	@ Los Angeles FC	0–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Toronto FC – last 6

DWLLLW

15 Oct	vs Orlando City SC	3–3	D
10 Oct	vs CF Montreal	2–1	W
27 Sep	@ Nashville SC	0–2	L
20 Sep	@ St. Louis City	1–3	L
13 Sep	@ Orlando City SC	0–3	L
10 Sep	vs Nashville SC	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?

On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Toronto FC 31%.

How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?

Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC: numbers & prediction