New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New England Revolution welcome Chicago Fire to Boston Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 18 October (00:30 WAT). In the table, New England Revolution are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 34 matches; Chicago Fire are 4th (among the top four) with 55. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
New England Revolution, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FC Cincinnati, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Chicago Fire, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Philadelphia Union, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours New England Revolution, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Chicago Fire.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Chicago Fire 1–2 New England Revolution.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New England Revolution 1.6 xG, Chicago Fire 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New England Revolution 41%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 38%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: New England Revolution 1–1 Chicago Fire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New England Revolution41%fair 2.42 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
Chicago Fire38%fair 2.66 · @2.60
3.17Expected goals
1.63New England Revolution xG
1.54Chicago Fire xG
68%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: New England Revolution 1.6 – 1.5 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New England Revolution to win✓
41%
2.42
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.46
1.40
Draw no bet
New England Revolution (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Chicago Fire +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
New England Revolution to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New England Revolution / FT New England Revolution✓
What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
On our numbers New England Revolution have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chicago Fire 38%.
How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Boston Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.