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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Houston Dynamo v FC Dallas: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · BBVA Compass Stadium
2–2
FT
Houston Dynamo 41%Draw 22%FC Dallas 37% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.45
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2

Value bet: FC Dallas to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 18 October the Major League Soccer brings Houston Dynamo against FC Dallas at BBVA Compass Stadium. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Houston Dynamo are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 34 matches; FC Dallas are 2nd (among the top four) with 58.

Current form

Houston Dynamo, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with San Diego, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

FC Dallas, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Seattle Sounders, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours FC Dallas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Houston Dynamo.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended FC Dallas 4–3 Houston Dynamo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Houston Dynamo 1.5 xG, FC Dallas 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Houston Dynamo 41%, draw 22%, FC Dallas 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: FC Dallas to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houston Dynamo 1–1 FC Dallas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Houston Dynamo41%fair 2.44 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.25
FC Dallas37%fair 2.73 · @3.00
3.00Expected goals
1.55Houston Dynamo xG
1.45FC Dallas xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Houston Dynamo 1.5 – 1.5 FC Dallas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHouston Dynamo to win ✗41%2.442.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.62
Draw no betHouston Dynamo (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapFC Dallas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreHouston Dynamo to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo ✗24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.54–

Recent results

Houston Dynamo – last 6

DDLDLW
15 Oct@ San Diego3–3D
11 Oct@ Minnesota United FC2–2D
27 Sepvs Sporting Kansas City0–2L
20 Sepvs FC Cincinnati2–2D
13 Sep@ San Jose Earthquakes0–1L
10 Sepvs Real Salt Lake2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FC Dallas – last 6

WLWDWW
15 Octvs Seattle Sounders1–0W
11 Oct@ Charlotte2–3L
27 Sepvs Los Angeles FC1–0W
20 Sepvs Austin0–0D
13 Sepvs Portland Timbers2–1W
10 Sep@ Minnesota United FC2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026FC Dallas v Houston Dynamo4–3
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?

On our numbers Houston Dynamo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Dallas 37%.

How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?

Our predicted score is Houston Dynamo 1–1 FC Dallas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas?

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at BBVA Compass Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.