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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St. Louis City v Portland Timbers: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Citypark
2–3
FT
St. Louis City 58%Draw 21%Portland Timbers 20% Expected goals 2.18 – 1.24
80%
Betarazi pick

St. Louis City or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1

Value bet: St. Louis City to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSt. Louis City to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceSt. Louis City or draw ✗80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37

St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Thursday 29 October: St. Louis City v Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer, played at Citypark. In the table, St. Louis City are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 34 matches; Portland Timbers are 7th (upper half) with 46.

Current form

St. Louis City, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Real Salt Lake, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Portland Timbers, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Charlotte, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Sep 2026) it ended Portland Timbers 2–2 St. Louis City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St. Louis City 2.2 xG, Portland Timbers 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St. Louis City 58%, draw 21%, Portland Timbers 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: St. Louis City or draw (80%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: St. Louis City to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was St. Louis City or draw (80%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Louis City 2–1 Portland Timbers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St. Louis City58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.70
Portland Timbers20%fair 4.94 · @3.40
3.42Expected goals
2.18St. Louis City xG
1.24Portland Timbers xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: St. Louis City 2.2 – 1.2 Portland Timbers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt. Louis City to win ✗58%1.711.85 ▲
Double chanceSt. Louis City or draw ✗80%1.251.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.40
Draw no betSt. Louis City (draw no bet) ✗74%1.35–
Asian handicapPortland Timbers +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
First team to scoreSt. Louis City to score first ✗62%1.62–
Half-time resultSt. Louis City ahead at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT St. Louis City / FT St. Louis City ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.37–

Recent results

St. Louis City – last 6

LDLDWW
25 Oct@ Real Salt Lake0–3L
22 Oct@ Columbus Crew0–0D
17 Oct@ Minnesota United FC2–3L
15 Octvs Vancouver Whitecaps0–0D
12 Octvs Los Angeles Galaxy6–2W
1 Oct@ New York Red Bulls3–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Portland Timbers – last 6

WDLDLL
25 Octvs Charlotte3–2W
18 Octvs Colorado Rapids0–0D
15 Oct@ Los Angeles Galaxy0–2L
11 Oct@ Sporting Kansas City3–3D
27 Sep@ San Jose Earthquakes1–3L
20 Sepvs Atlanta United FC0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Sep 2026Portland Timbers v St. Louis City2–2
St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?

Our pick is St. Louis City or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?

On our numbers St. Louis City have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Portland Timbers 20%.

How many goals will there be in St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?

Our predicted score is St. Louis City 2–1 Portland Timbers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?

St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Citypark.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.