Value bet: Philadelphia Union to win @ 2.25 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗53% · @2.25
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
DC United vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: DC United v Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer, played at Audi Field. In the table, DC United are 14th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give DC United 1.0 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – DC United 23%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 53%.
Lower-risk option: Philadelphia Union or draw (77%) at 1.35.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Philadelphia Union to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Philadelphia Union or draw (77%, odds 1.35 – longer than our fair 1.30, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: DC United 0–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
DC United23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.30
Philadelphia Union53%fair 1.89 · @2.25
2.78Expected goals
0.99DC United xG
1.79Philadelphia Union xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: DC United 1.0 – 1.8 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✗
53%
1.89
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Philadelphia Union or draw✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Philadelphia Union (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
DC United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Philadelphia Union to score first✗
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
DC United
No recent results on record.
Philadelphia Union – last 1
W
19 Feb
@ Defence Force
5–0
W
5.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between DC United and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Philadelphia Union or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers DC United have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Philadelphia Union 53%.
How many goals will there be in DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is DC United 0–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is DC United vs Philadelphia Union?
DC United vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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