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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Houston Dynamo v Chicago Fire: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Shell Energy Stadium
Houston Dynamo 40%Draw 25%Chicago Fire 35% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.35
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.52

Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Houston Dynamo v Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer, played at Shell Energy Stadium. In the table, Houston Dynamo are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 34 matches; Chicago Fire are 4th (among the top four) with 55.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Houston Dynamo 1.5 xG, Chicago Fire 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Houston Dynamo 40%, draw 25%, Chicago Fire 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houston Dynamo 1–1 Chicago Fire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Houston Dynamo40%fair 2.50 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.45
Chicago Fire35%fair 2.86 · @2.88
2.81Expected goals
1.46Houston Dynamo xG
1.35Chicago Fire xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Houston Dynamo 1.5 – 1.3 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHouston Dynamo to win ✓40%2.502.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.53
Draw no betHouston Dynamo (draw no bet) ✓53%1.87–
Asian handicapChicago Fire +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.501.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.18
First team to scoreHouston Dynamo to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.52–

Recent results

Houston Dynamo

No recent results on record.

Chicago Fire

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Houston Dynamo and Chicago Fire.

Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire?

On our numbers Houston Dynamo have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chicago Fire 35%.

How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire?

Our predicted score is Houston Dynamo 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire?

Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.