Value bet: Minnesota United FC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAustin to win ✗38% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.17
Austin vs Minnesota United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:30 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Austin v Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer, played at Q2 Stadium. In the table, Austin are 14th, in the drop zone, on 34 points after 34 matches; Minnesota United FC are 10th (lower half) with 44.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Austin 1.5 xG, Minnesota United FC 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Austin 38%, draw 25%, Minnesota United FC 37%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Minnesota United FC to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austin 1–1 Minnesota United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Austin38%fair 2.60 · @2.26
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.25
Minnesota United FC37%fair 2.72 · @3.10
3.08Expected goals
1.51Austin xG
1.57Minnesota United FC xG
64%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Austin 1.5 – 1.6 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Austin to win✗
38%
2.60
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Austin (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Austin +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.11
First team to score
Minnesota United FC to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minnesota United FC / FT Minnesota United FC✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.17
–
Recent results
Austin
No recent results on record.
Minnesota United FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Austin and Minnesota United FC.
What is the prediction for Austin vs Minnesota United FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Austin vs Minnesota United FC?
On our numbers Austin have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Minnesota United FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Austin vs Minnesota United FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs Minnesota United FC?
Our predicted score is Austin 1–1 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Austin vs Minnesota United FC?
Austin vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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