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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bellinzona v FC WIL 1900: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland · Stadio Comunale Bellinzona
2–4
FT
Bellinzona 28%Draw 24%FC WIL 1900 48% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.81
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2

Value bet: FC WIL 1900 to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC WIL 1900 to win ✓48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Bellinzona vs FC WIL 1900: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC WIL 1900 travel to face Bellinzona on Monday 11 May in the Challenge League, with Stadio Comunale Bellinzona the venue – the ball rolls at 19:15 WAT.

Current form

Bellinzona, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.

FC WIL 1900, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Yverdon Sport, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC WIL 1900, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Bellinzona.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bellinzona 1.2 xG, FC WIL 1900 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bellinzona 28%, draw 24%, FC WIL 1900 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: FC WIL 1900 to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bellinzona 1–1 FC WIL 1900. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bellinzona28%fair 3.60 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
FC WIL 190048%fair 2.09 · @2.25
2.98Expected goals
1.17Bellinzona xG
1.81FC WIL 1900 xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Bellinzona 1.2 – 1.8 FC WIL 1900 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC WIL 1900 to win ✓48%2.092.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.67
Draw no betFC WIL 1900 (draw no bet) ✓63%1.58–
Asian handicapBellinzona +1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.75–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
First team to scoreFC WIL 1900 to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC WIL 1900 / FT FC WIL 1900 ✗32%3.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Bellinzona – last 6

LLLLWL
8 May@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0–5L
3 Mayvs Rapperswil2–4L
7 Apr@ FC Vaduz2–3L
3 Apr@ Yverdon Sport2–5L
20 Marvs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2–1W
13 Marvs Étoile Carouge0–3L
1.3Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

FC WIL 1900 – last 6

LWLWWL
8 Mayvs Yverdon Sport0–1L
1 May@ Stade Nyonnais1–0W
17 Apr@ Étoile Carouge0–2L
7 Aprvs Neuchatel Xamax FC5–2W
3 Apr@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2–0W
22 Marvs Étoile Carouge1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bellinzona and FC WIL 1900.

Bellinzona vs FC WIL 1900 head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bellinzona vs FC WIL 1900?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Bellinzona vs FC WIL 1900?

On our numbers Bellinzona have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC WIL 1900 48%.

How many goals will there be in Bellinzona vs FC WIL 1900?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bellinzona vs FC WIL 1900?

Our predicted score is Bellinzona 1–1 FC WIL 1900, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Bellinzona vs FC WIL 1900?

Bellinzona vs FC WIL 1900 (Challenge League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Bellinzona.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.