Stade Nyonnais v Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: numbers & prediction

Stade Nyonnais vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:15 WAT, Monday 11 May: Stade Nyonnais v Stade Lausanne-Ouchy in the Challenge League, played at Colovray Sports Centre. In the table, Stade Nyonnais are 10th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Stade Nyonnais, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to FC Aarau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Bellinzona, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Stade Nyonnais.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stade Nyonnais 1.0 xG, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Nyonnais 21%, draw 20%, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 59%.
• GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win (59%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Nyonnais 0–2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.