FC Vaduz 48%Draw 21%FC Aarau 31%Expected goals 2.27 – 1.43
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: FC Vaduz to win @ 2.50 – our chance 48% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Vaduz to win ✗48% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
FC Vaduz vs FC Aarau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 11 May the Challenge League brings FC Vaduz against FC Aarau at Rheinpark Stadion. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT.
Current form
FC Vaduz, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Étoile Carouge, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
FC Aarau, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Stade Nyonnais, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended FC Aarau 2–0 FC Vaduz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Vaduz 2.3 xG, FC Aarau 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Vaduz 48%, draw 21%, FC Aarau 31%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: FC Vaduz to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Vaduz 2–1 FC Aarau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Vaduz48%fair 2.08 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.30
FC Aarau31%fair 3.27 · @2.40
3.70Expected goals
2.27FC Vaduz xG
1.43FC Aarau xG
65%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: FC Vaduz 2.3 – 1.4 FC Aarau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FC Vaduz vs FC Aarau?
On our numbers FC Vaduz have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Aarau 31%.
How many goals will there be in FC Vaduz vs FC Aarau?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Vaduz vs FC Aarau?
Our predicted score is FC Vaduz 2–1 FC Aarau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is FC Vaduz vs FC Aarau?
FC Vaduz vs FC Aarau (Challenge League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Rheinpark Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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