Birmingham Legion v Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓44% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84

Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Birmingham Legion welcome Tampa Bay Rowdies to Protective Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 8 March (02:00 WAT). In the table, Birmingham Legion are 11th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 30 matches; Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st (leading the league) with 61. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Birmingham Legion 1.2 xG, Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Birmingham Legion 32%, draw 25%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Birmingham Legion32%fair 3.15 · @2.75

Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.45

Tampa Bay Rowdies44%fair 2.29 · @2.25

2.76Expected goals

1.20Birmingham Legion xG

1.56Tampa Bay Rowdies xG

59%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–29%

0–28%

1–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.2 – 1.6 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Birmingham Legion	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Attack vs USL Championship average	-2%	+12%
Goals conceded vs average	+16%	-25%
Our expected goals here	1.10	1.58

Birmingham Legion

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Attack vs USL Championship average

-2%

+12%

Goals conceded vs average

+16%

-25%

Our expected goals here

1.10

1.58

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓	44%	2.29	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.70	1.55
Draw no bet	Tampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet) ✓	58%	1.73	–
Asian handicap	Birmingham Legion +1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	76%	1.31	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.87	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	–
First team to score	Tampa Bay Rowdies to score first ✓	53%	1.89	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies ✗	27%	3.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.84	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Tampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓

44%

2.29

2.25

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

75%

1.33

1.22

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

59%

1.70

1.55

Draw no bet

Tampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet) ✓

58%

1.73

–

Asian handicap

Birmingham Legion +1 (Asian handicap)

70%

1.42

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✗

76%

1.31

1.22

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✗

53%

1.87

1.70

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

68%

1.47

1.40

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

85%

1.17

–

First team to score

Tampa Bay Rowdies to score first ✓

53%

1.89

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✓

41%

2.41

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies ✗

27%

3.68

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

10.84

–

Recent results

Head to head

USL Championship table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	30	18	7	5	+26	61
2	Charleston Battery	30	16	5	9	+21	53
3	Detroit City	30	14	9	7	+13	51
4	Louisville City	30	13	8	9	+8	47
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	13	6	11	+3	45
6	Hartford Athletic	30	10	13	7	+2	43
7	Rhode Island	30	12	6	12	+9	42
8	Miami FC	30	9	9	12	-10	36
9	Indy Eleven	30	9	7	14	-6	34
10	Loudoun United	30	6	13	11	-10	31
11	Birmingham Legion	30	6	12	12	-6	30
12	Brooklyn	30	5	6	19	-29	21
13	Sporting JAX	30	3	5	22	-46	14

Team

Pts

+26

+21

+13

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

-10

-6

-10

-6

-29

-46

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%.

How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Birmingham Legion v Tampa Bay Rowdies: numbers & prediction