Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSacramento Republic to win ✓53% · @1.91
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Tulsa travel to face Sacramento Republic on Sunday 8 March in the USL Championship, with Heart Health Park the venue – the ball rolls at 04:00 WAT. In the table, Sacramento Republic are 2nd, among the top four, on 51 points after 30 matches; FC Tulsa are 7th (lower half) with 43.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sacramento Republic 1.4 xG, FC Tulsa 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sacramento Republic 53%, draw 28%, FC Tulsa 19%.
Lower-risk option: Sacramento Republic or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sacramento Republic 1–1 FC Tulsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sacramento Republic53%fair 1.89 · @1.91
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.20
FC Tulsa19%fair 5.14 · @3.75
2.15Expected goals
1.39Sacramento Republic xG
0.76FC Tulsa xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 1.4 – 0.8 FC Tulsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sacramento Republic
FC Tulsa
Attack vs USL Championship average
+11%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-27%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.30
0.76
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sacramento Republic to win✓
53%
1.89
1.91
Double chance
Sacramento Republic or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Sacramento Republic (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
FC Tulsa +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Sacramento Republic to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
Sacramento Republic
No recent results on record.
FC Tulsa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sacramento Republic and FC Tulsa.
What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?
On our numbers Sacramento Republic have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 28% and FC Tulsa 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?
Our predicted score is Sacramento Republic 1–1 FC Tulsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?
Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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