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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting JAX v Hartford Athletic: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Hodges Stadium
Sporting JAX 29%Draw 33%Hartford Athletic 38% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.83
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
X2

Value bet: Hartford Athletic or draw @ 1.65 – our chance 71% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHartford Athletic to win ✓38% · @3.00
Double chanceHartford Athletic or draw ✓71% · @1.65
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.45

Sporting JAX vs Hartford Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hartford Athletic travel to face Sporting JAX on Sunday 8 March in the USL Championship, with Hodges Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Sporting JAX are 13th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 30 matches; Hartford Athletic are 6th (upper half) with 43. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting JAX 1.3 xG, Hartford Athletic 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting JAX 29%, draw 33%, Hartford Athletic 38%.
  • Lower-risk option: Hartford Athletic or draw (71%) at 1.65.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Hartford Athletic or draw @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 71%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting JAX 1–1 Hartford Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting JAX29%fair 3.50 · @2.15
Draw33%fair 3.02 · @3.35
Hartford Athletic38%fair 2.61 · @3.00
3.10Expected goals
1.27Sporting JAX xG
1.83Hartford Athletic xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Sporting JAX 1.3 – 1.8 Hartford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Sporting JAXHartford Athletic
Attack vs USL Championship average-23%+6%
Goals conceded vs average+74%-3%
Our expected goals here1.122.26

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHartford Athletic to win ✓38%2.613.00 ▲
Double chanceHartford Athletic or draw ✓71%1.401.65 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.65
Draw no betHartford Athletic (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapSporting JAX +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreHartford Athletic to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hartford Athletic / FT Hartford Athletic ✓31%3.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.45–

Recent results

Sporting JAX

No recent results on record.

Hartford Athletic

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sporting JAX and Hartford Athletic.

Sporting JAX vs Hartford Athletic head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Hartford Athletic?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sporting JAX vs Hartford Athletic?

On our numbers Sporting JAX have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Hartford Athletic 38%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX vs Hartford Athletic?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX vs Hartford Athletic?

Our predicted score is Sporting JAX 1–1 Hartford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Sporting JAX vs Hartford Athletic?

Sporting JAX vs Hartford Athletic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.