Defensa Y Justicia v Central Cordoba de Santiago: numbers & prediction

Defensa Y Justicia vs Central Cordoba de Santiago: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Defensa Y Justicia welcome Central Cordoba de Santiago to Estadio Norberto Tomaghello for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Thursday 12 March (21:00 WAT). In the table, Defensa Y Justicia are 14th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Central Cordoba de Santiago are 27th (lower half) with 27. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Defensa Y Justicia, last 4: DDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lanus, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Central Cordoba de Santiago, last 4: LWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Independiente, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Defensa Y Justicia 1.5 xG, Central Cordoba de Santiago 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Defensa Y Justicia 57%, draw 25%, Central Cordoba de Santiago 18%.
• Lower-risk option: Defensa Y Justicia or draw (82%) at 1.18.
• GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
• Price worth noting: Defensa Y Justicia to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensa Y Justicia 1–0 Central Cordoba de Santiago. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.