Value bet: Gimnasia M. to win @ 4.00 – our chance 33% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Riestra to win ✗36% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.74
Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia M.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Thursday 12 March: Deportivo Riestra v Gimnasia M. in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Guillermo Laza. In the table, Deportivo Riestra are 28th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 32 matches; Gimnasia M. are 17th (lower half) with 41. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Riestra, last 4: DDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Platense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gimnasia M., last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Independiente, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Riestra, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Gimnasia M..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Riestra 0.8 xG, Gimnasia M. 0.9 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Riestra 36%, draw 31%, Gimnasia M. 33%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia M. to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Gimnasia M.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Riestra36%fair 2.78 · @2.20
Draw31%fair 3.21 · @2.74
Gimnasia M.33%fair 3.04 · @4.00
1.71Expected goals
0.82Deportivo Riestra xG
0.89Gimnasia M. xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
0–116%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Deportivo Riestra 0.8 – 0.9 Gimnasia M. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Riestra to win✗
36%
2.78
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.45
Draw no bet
Deportivo Riestra (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Riestra +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Gimnasia M. to score first✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.74
–
Recent results
Deportivo Riestra – last 4
DDDD
2 Mar
vs Platense
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Huracan
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Newells Old Boys
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Gimnasia M. – last 3
DLL
25 Feb
vs Independiente
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Gimnasia L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Riestra and Gimnasia M..
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia M.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia M.?
On our numbers Deportivo Riestra have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Gimnasia M. 33%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia M.?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia M.?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Gimnasia M., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia M.?
Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia M. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Laza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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