Independ. Rivadavia 56%Draw 25%Barracas Central 19%Expected goals 1.42 – 0.85
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✗56% · @1.47
Double chanceIndepend. Rivadavia or draw ✗81% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.81
Independ. Rivadavia vs Barracas Central: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barracas Central travel to face Independ. Rivadavia on Thursday 12 March in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Bautista Gargantini the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Independ. Rivadavia are 4th, among the top four, on 57 points after 32 matches; Barracas Central are 12th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Independ. Rivadavia, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with River Plate, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Barracas Central, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Argentinos JRS, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Barracas Central, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Independ. Rivadavia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independ. Rivadavia 1.4 xG, Barracas Central 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independ. Rivadavia 56%, draw 25%, Barracas Central 19%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Barracas Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independ. Rivadavia56%fair 1.78 · @1.47
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.75
Barracas Central19%fair 5.29 · @8.40
2.27Expected goals
1.42Independ. Rivadavia xG
0.85Barracas Central xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.4 – 0.8 Barracas Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independ. Rivadavia to win✗
56%
1.78
1.47
Double chance
Independ. Rivadavia or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.48
Draw no bet
Independ. Rivadavia (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Barracas Central +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Independ. Rivadavia to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independ. Rivadavia / FT Independ. Rivadavia✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.81
–
Recent results
Independ. Rivadavia – last 3
DDL
3 Mar
vs River Plate
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Racing Club
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Belgrano Cordoba
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Barracas Central – last 3
DWL
1 Mar
@ Argentinos JRS
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Tigre
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Rosario Central
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independ. Rivadavia and Barracas Central.
What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Barracas Central?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Barracas Central?
On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barracas Central 19%.
How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Barracas Central?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Barracas Central?
Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Barracas Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Barracas Central?
Independ. Rivadavia vs Barracas Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bautista Gargantini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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