Barracas Central 37%Draw 29%Atletico Tucuman 34%Expected goals 1.14 – 1.01
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBarracas Central to win ✓37% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 13.09
Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barracas Central welcome Atletico Tucuman to Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Monday 16 March (19:30 WAT). In the table, Barracas Central are 12th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Atletico Tucuman are 26th (lower half) with 32. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Barracas Central, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Independ. Rivadavia, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Atletico Tucuman, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aldosivi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Barracas Central, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Atletico Tucuman.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barracas Central 1.1 xG, Atletico Tucuman 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barracas Central 37%, draw 29%, Atletico Tucuman 34%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barracas Central 1–1 Atletico Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barracas Central37%fair 2.68 · @2.76
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @2.88
Atletico Tucuman34%fair 2.98 · @2.76
2.14Expected goals
1.14Barracas Central xG
1.01Atletico Tucuman xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Barracas Central 1.1 – 1.0 Atletico Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barracas Central to win✓
37%
2.68
2.76
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Barracas Central (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Tucuman +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Barracas Central to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barracas Central / FT Barracas Central✓
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
13.09
–
Recent results
Barracas Central – last 4
WDWL
12 Mar
@ Independ. Rivadavia
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Argentinos JRS
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Tigre
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Rosario Central
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Tucuman – last 5
DLLLW
12 Mar
vs Aldosivi
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Racing Club
0–3
L
25 Feb
@ Belgrano Cordoba
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Instituto Cordoba
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
4–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barracas Central and Atletico Tucuman.
What is the prediction for Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
On our numbers Barracas Central have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Atletico Tucuman 34%.
How many goals will there be in Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Barracas Central 1–1 Atletico Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman?
Barracas Central vs Atletico Tucuman (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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