Union Santa Fe 30%Draw 29%Boca Juniors 41%Expected goals 1.00 – 1.35
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Boca Juniors to win @ 2.82 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBoca Juniors to win ✗41% · @2.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Boca Juniors travel to face Union Santa Fe on Monday 16 March in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio 15 de Abril the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Union Santa Fe are 16th, lower half, on 42 points after 32 matches; Boca Juniors are 1st (leading the league) with 63. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union Santa Fe, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Independiente, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Boca Juniors, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Lorenzo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Santa Fe 1.0 xG, Boca Juniors 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Santa Fe 30%, draw 29%, Boca Juniors 41%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Boca Juniors to win @2.82 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Santa Fe 1–1 Boca Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Santa Fe30%fair 3.32 · @2.90
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.70
Boca Juniors41%fair 2.43 · @2.82
2.34Expected goals
1.00Union Santa Fe xG
1.35Boca Juniors xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Union Santa Fe 1.0 – 1.3 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors to win✗
41%
2.43
2.82 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.40
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Boca Juniors (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Union Santa Fe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.04
First team to score
Boca Juniors to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Union Santa Fe – last 5
DWWWD
10 Mar
@ Independiente
4–4
D
1 Mar
@ Instituto Cordoba
2–1
W
26 Feb
@ Sarmiento Junin
3–1
W
23 Feb
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs San Lorenzo
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Boca Juniors – last 5
DWWDD
11 Mar
vs San Lorenzo
1–1
D
5 Mar
@ Lanus
3–0
W
25 Feb
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Racing Club
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Platense
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Santa Fe and Boca Juniors.
What is the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?
On our numbers Union Santa Fe have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Boca Juniors 41%.
How many goals will there be in Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?
Our predicted score is Union Santa Fe 1–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors?
Union Santa Fe vs Boca Juniors (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tigre1
Argentinos JRS1
Aldosivi0
Huracan0
Barracas Central2
Atletico Tucuman1