Value bet: Defensa Y Justicia to win @ 3.85 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Lorenzo to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.68
San Lorenzo vs Defensa Y Justicia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Defensa Y Justicia travel to face San Lorenzo on Monday 16 March in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Pedro Bidegain the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, San Lorenzo are 18th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Defensa Y Justicia are 14th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
San Lorenzo, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Boca Juniors, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Defensa Y Justicia, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Central Cordoba de Santiago, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Lorenzo 0.9 xG, Defensa Y Justicia 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Lorenzo 38%, draw 30%, Defensa Y Justicia 31%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Defensa Y Justicia to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Lorenzo 0–0 Defensa Y Justicia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Lorenzo38%fair 2.62 · @2.20
Draw30%fair 3.28 · @2.82
Defensa Y Justicia31%fair 3.19 · @3.85
1.86Expected goals
0.95San Lorenzo xG
0.91Defensa Y Justicia xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: San Lorenzo 0.9 – 0.9 Defensa Y Justicia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Lorenzo to win✗
38%
2.62
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
San Lorenzo (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Defensa Y Justicia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
94%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
San Lorenzo to score first✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
15.68
–
Recent results
San Lorenzo – last 5
DDDWD
11 Mar
@ Boca Juniors
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Talleres Cordoba
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Instituto Cordoba
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Union Santa Fe
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Defensa Y Justicia – last 5
DDDDD
12 Mar
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Lanus
1–1
D
24 Feb
@ Platense
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Belgrano Cordoba
1–1
D
14 Feb
vs Velez Sarsfield
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Lorenzo and Defensa Y Justicia.
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win San Lorenzo vs Defensa Y Justicia?
On our numbers San Lorenzo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Defensa Y Justicia 31%.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Defensa Y Justicia?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our predicted score is San Lorenzo 0–0 Defensa Y Justicia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is San Lorenzo vs Defensa Y Justicia?
San Lorenzo vs Defensa Y Justicia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Pedro Bidegain.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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