Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.13
Gimnasia M. vs Velez Sarsfield: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 3 April: Gimnasia M. v Velez Sarsfield in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Víctor Legrotaglie. In the table, Gimnasia M. are 17th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Velez Sarsfield are 6th (upper half) with 56. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gimnasia M., last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Estudiantes L.P., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Velez Sarsfield, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tigre, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Velez Sarsfield, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.4 for Gimnasia M..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia M. 1.0 xG, Velez Sarsfield 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia M. 29%, draw 29%, Velez Sarsfield 42%.
Lower-risk option: Velez Sarsfield or draw (71%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Velez Sarsfield or draw (71%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia M. 0–1 Velez Sarsfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia M.29%fair 3.50 · @3.50
Draw29%fair 3.40 · @2.70
Velez Sarsfield42%fair 2.38 · @2.25
2.10Expected goals
0.95Gimnasia M. xG
1.15Velez Sarsfield xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gimnasia M. 1.0 – 1.1 Velez Sarsfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velez Sarsfield to win✗
42%
2.38
2.25
Double chance
Velez Sarsfield or draw✗
71%
1.40
1.29
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.57
Draw no bet
Velez Sarsfield (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia M. +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Velez Sarsfield to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velez Sarsfield / FT Velez Sarsfield✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.13
–
Recent results
Gimnasia M. – last 5
LDDLL
18 Mar
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Independiente
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Gimnasia L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Velez Sarsfield – last 5
DWDWD
10 Mar
@ Tigre
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs River Plate
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia M. and Velez Sarsfield.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Velez Sarsfield?
Our pick is Velez Sarsfield or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Velez Sarsfield?
On our numbers Gimnasia M. have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Velez Sarsfield 42%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia M. vs Velez Sarsfield?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia M. vs Velez Sarsfield?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia M. 0–1 Velez Sarsfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia M. vs Velez Sarsfield?
Gimnasia M. vs Velez Sarsfield (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Víctor Legrotaglie.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
