Union Santa Fe 54%Draw 27%Deportivo Riestra 19%Expected goals 1.44 – 0.73
54%
Betarazi pick
Union Santa Fe to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.91
4/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion Santa Fe to win54% · @1.91
Double chanceUnion Santa Fe or draw81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.07
Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Riestra travel to face Union Santa Fe on Friday 3 April in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio 15 de Abril the venue – the ball rolls at 21:15 WAT. In the table, Union Santa Fe are 16th, lower half, on 42 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Riestra are 28th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union Santa Fe, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Agropecuario, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Deportivo Riestra, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Lorenzo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Union Santa Fe, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo Riestra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Santa Fe 1.4 xG, Deportivo Riestra 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Santa Fe 54%, draw 27%, Deportivo Riestra 19%.
Lower-risk option: Union Santa Fe or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Santa Fe to win (54%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Santa Fe 1–0 Deportivo Riestra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Santa Fe54%fair 1.85 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.90
Deportivo Riestra19%fair 5.29 · @4.50
2.17Expected goals
1.44Union Santa Fe xG
0.73Deportivo Riestra xG
46%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Union Santa Fe 1.4 – 0.7 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Santa Fe to win
54%
1.85
1.91
Double chance
Union Santa Fe or draw
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.86
1.44
Draw no bet
Union Santa Fe (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Riestra +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Union Santa Fe to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Santa Fe / FT Union Santa Fe
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.07
–
Recent results
Union Santa Fe – last 6
WDDWWW
31 Mar
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs Boca Juniors
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Independiente
4–4
D
1 Mar
@ Instituto Cordoba
2–1
W
26 Feb
@ Sarmiento Junin
3–1
W
23 Feb
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Riestra – last 6
DLDDDD
25 Mar
vs San Lorenzo
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
0–1
L
12 Mar
vs Gimnasia M.
0–0
D
2 Mar
vs Platense
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Huracan
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Santa Fe and Deportivo Riestra.
What is the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our pick is Union Santa Fe to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra?
On our numbers Union Santa Fe have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Riestra 19%.
How many goals will there be in Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our predicted score is Union Santa Fe 1–0 Deportivo Riestra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra?
Union Santa Fe vs Deportivo Riestra (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
