Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✗70% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.22
San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes L.P.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the Liga Profesional Argentina brings San Lorenzo against Estudiantes L.P. at Pedro Bidegain. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, San Lorenzo are 18th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Estudiantes L.P. are 11th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
San Lorenzo, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Riestra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Estudiantes L.P., last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Central Cordoba de Santiago, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Estudiantes L.P., collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for San Lorenzo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Lorenzo 0.9 xG, Estudiantes L.P. 1.1 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Lorenzo 30%, draw 31%, Estudiantes L.P. 39%.
Lower-risk option: Estudiantes L.P. or draw (70%) at 1.40.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Estudiantes L.P. or draw (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Lorenzo 0–1 Estudiantes L.P.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Lorenzo30%fair 3.34 · @2.90
Draw31%fair 3.18 · @2.62
Estudiantes L.P.39%fair 2.59 · @2.70
1.91Expected goals
0.85San Lorenzo xG
1.05Estudiantes L.P. xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: San Lorenzo 0.9 – 1.1 Estudiantes L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✗
39%
2.59
2.70
Double chance
Estudiantes L.P. or draw✗
70%
1.43
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Estudiantes L.P. (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
San Lorenzo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Estudiantes L.P. to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.22
–
Recent results
San Lorenzo – last 6
DWLDDD
25 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Deportivo Rincon
5–0
W
16 Mar
vs Defensa Y Justicia
2–5
L
11 Mar
@ Boca Juniors
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Talleres Cordoba
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Instituto Cordoba
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
WWLLWW
23 Mar
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
5–0
W
18 Mar
@ Gimnasia M.
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Lanus
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ Newells Old Boys
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Sarmiento Junin
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Lorenzo and Estudiantes L.P..
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our pick is Estudiantes L.P. or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
On our numbers San Lorenzo have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Estudiantes L.P. 39%.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our predicted score is San Lorenzo 0–1 Estudiantes L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Pedro Bidegain.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
