Bahia vs RB Bragantino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 18 March the Serie A brings Bahia against RB Bragantino at Arena Fonte Nova. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Bahia are 6th, upper half, on 53 points after 34 matches; RB Bragantino are 8th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Bahia, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Internacional, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
RB Bragantino, last 4: LDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sao Paulo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bahia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for RB Bragantino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bahia 1.4 xG, RB Bragantino 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bahia 50%, draw 26%, RB Bragantino 23%.
Lower-risk option: Bahia or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bahia 1–0 RB Bragantino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bahia50%fair 1.99 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.45
RB Bragantino23%fair 4.28 · @3.90
2.39Expected goals
1.42Bahia xG
0.97RB Bragantino xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Bahia 1.4 – 1.0 RB Bragantino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bahia
RB Bragantino
Attack vs Serie A average
+9%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.47
1.16
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bahia to win✓
50%
1.99
1.90
Double chance
Bahia or draw✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.77
Draw no bet
Bahia (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
RB Bragantino +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Bahia to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bahia / FT Bahia✓
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Bahia – last 4
WDWL
15 Mar
@ Internacional
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Atlético Alagoinhas
4–2
W
18 Feb
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
RB Bragantino – last 4
LDDW
16 Mar
vs Sao Paulo
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Gremio
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Atletico Paranaense
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Novorizontino
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bahia and RB Bragantino.
What is the prediction for Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
On our numbers Bahia have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and RB Bragantino 23%.
How many goals will there be in Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
Our predicted score is Bahia 1–0 RB Bragantino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
Bahia vs RB Bragantino (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Nova.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
