Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓68% · @1.54
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Palmeiras vs Botafogo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Palmeiras welcome Botafogo to Allianz Parque for a Serie A fixture on Wednesday 18 March (23:00 WAT). In the table, Palmeiras are 2nd, among the top four, on 73 points after 34 matches; Botafogo are 11th (lower half) with 42. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Palmeiras, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vasco DA Gama, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Botafogo, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Flamengo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Palmeiras, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Botafogo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palmeiras 2.3 xG, Botafogo 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 49% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palmeiras 68%, draw 20%, Botafogo 12%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palmeiras 2–0 Botafogo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palmeiras68%fair 1.47 · @1.54
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.00
Botafogo12%fair 8.47 · @5.90
3.06Expected goals
2.34Palmeiras xG
0.73Botafogo xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 2.3 – 0.7 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Attack vs Serie A average
+41%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
-42%
+6%
Our expected goals here
2.28
0.51
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
68%
1.47
1.54
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Palmeiras (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Palmeiras -1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
First team to score
Palmeiras to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Palmeiras ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✓
49%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Palmeiras – last 6
LWWWWW
12 Mar
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Novorizontino
2–1
W
5 Mar
vs Novorizontino
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Sao Paulo
2–1
W
26 Feb
vs Fluminense
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Capivariano
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Botafogo – last 6
LLDDWW
15 Mar
vs Flamengo
0–3
L
11 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Barcelona SC
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Boavista SC
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Nacional Potosí
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Boavista SC
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and Botafogo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Botafogo 12%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 2–0 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
Palmeiras vs Botafogo (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Parque.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
