Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCruzeiro to win ✓73% · @1.32
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.01
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chapecoense-sc travel to face Cruzeiro on Sunday 24 May in the Serie A, with Governador Magalhães Pinto the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Cruzeiro are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 34 matches; Chapecoense-sc are 20th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cruzeiro, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Boca Juniors, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Chapecoense-sc, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Novorizontino, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chapecoense-sc, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Cruzeiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruzeiro 2.6 xG, Chapecoense-sc 0.8 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruzeiro 73%, draw 17%, Chapecoense-sc 10%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruzeiro 2–0 Chapecoense-sc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruzeiro73%fair 1.36 · @1.32
Draw17%fair 5.89 · @4.65
Chapecoense-sc10%fair 10.30 · @10.25
3.38Expected goals
2.58Cruzeiro xG
0.80Chapecoense-sc xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 2.6 – 0.8 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Attack vs Serie A average
+35%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
+53%
Our expected goals here
3.16
0.89
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✓
73%
1.36
1.32
Double chance
Cruzeiro or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Cruzeiro (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Cruzeiro -1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.15
First team to score
Cruzeiro to score first✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Cruzeiro ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✓
52%
1.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
Cruzeiro – last 6
DDWWDL
20 May
@ Boca Juniors
1–1
D
17 May
@ Palmeiras
1–1
D
13 May
vs Goias
1–0
W
10 May
@ Bahia
2–1
W
7 May
@ U. Catolica
0–0
D
3 May
vs Atletico-MG
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
WLWWWL
20 May
@ Novorizontino
2–0
W
17 May
vs Remo
2–3
L
14 May
vs Botafogo
2–0
W
7 May
@ Operario-PR
2–1
W
29 Apr
vs America Mineiro
2–1
W
21 Apr
@ Botafogo
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruzeiro and Chapecoense-sc.
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Chapecoense-sc 10%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 2–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc?
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
