Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFlamengo to win ✗53% · @1.79
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Flamengo vs Palmeiras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Flamengo welcome Palmeiras to Estádio do Maracanã for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 24 May (01:00 WAT). In the table, Flamengo are 1st, leading the league, on 76 points after 34 matches; Palmeiras are 2nd (among the top four) with 73. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Flamengo, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Estudiantes L.P., at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Palmeiras, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cerro Porteno, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flamengo 1.5 xG, Palmeiras 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flamengo 53%, draw 26%, Palmeiras 21%.
Lower-risk option: Flamengo or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Flamengo or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamengo 1–1 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flamengo53%fair 1.90 · @1.79
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.35
Palmeiras21%fair 4.71 · @4.70
2.52Expected goals
1.51Flamengo xG
1.01Palmeiras xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Flamengo 1.5 – 1.0 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Attack vs Serie A average
+54%
+41%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
-42%
Our expected goals here
1.37
1.14
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win✗
53%
1.90
1.79
Double chance
Flamengo or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Flamengo (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Palmeiras +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Flamengo to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Flamengo – last 6
WDLWDW
21 May
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
17 May
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–1
D
15 May
@ Vitoria
0–2
L
10 May
@ Gremio
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Vitoria
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Palmeiras – last 6
LDWWDW
21 May
vs Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
17 May
vs Cruzeiro
1–1
D
14 May
@ Jacuipense
4–1
W
5 May
@ Sporting Cristal
2–0
W
30 Apr
@ Cerro Porteno
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Jacuipense
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flamengo and Palmeiras.
Our pick is Flamengo or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Flamengo vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Palmeiras 21%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Palmeiras?
Flamengo vs Palmeiras (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
