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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Flamengo v Corinthians: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil
2–1
FT
Flamengo 66%Draw 20%Corinthians 15% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.66
66%
Betarazi pick

Flamengo to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultFlamengo to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.02

Flamengo vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Corinthians travel to face Flamengo on Sunday 13 September in the Serie A – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Flamengo are 1st, leading the league, on 76 points after 34 matches; Corinthians are 17th (lower half) with 37. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Flamengo, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Independiente del Valle, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Corinthians, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Estudiantes L.P., away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Flamengo, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Corinthians.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended Corinthians 1–1 Flamengo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flamengo 1.8 xG, Corinthians 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flamengo 66%, draw 20%, Corinthians 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Flamengo to win (66%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamengo 1–0 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flamengo66%fair 1.53 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.80
Corinthians15%fair 6.75 · @9.50
2.42Expected goals
1.76Flamengo xG
0.66Corinthians xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Flamengo 1.8 – 0.7 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlamengo to win ✓66%1.531.30
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓85%1.171.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%2.002.10 ▲
Draw no betFlamengo (draw no bet) ✓82%1.23–
Asian handicapFlamengo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.77–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreFlamengo to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultFlamengo ahead at half-time ✗45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flamengo / FT Flamengo ✗40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.02–

Recent results

Flamengo – last 6

WWWWLW
11 Sep@ Independiente del Valle2–0W
6 Sep@ Remo1–0W
2 Sepvs Mirassol2–0W
30 Augvs Botafogo3–0W
23 Aug@ Cruzeiro1–2L
20 Augvs Cruzeiro2–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Corinthians – last 6

DLLLWL
10 Sep@ Estudiantes L.P.1–1D
6 Sepvs Chapecoense-sc1–2L
30 Augvs Santos0–1L
23 Aug@ Coritiba1–2L
21 Augvs Rosario Central1–0W
16 Augvs Cruzeiro1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Mar 2026Corinthians v Flamengo1–1
Flamengo vs Corinthians head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Corinthians?

Our pick is Flamengo to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Flamengo vs Corinthians?

On our numbers Flamengo have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Corinthians 15%.

How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Corinthians?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Corinthians?

Our predicted score is Flamengo 1–0 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Flamengo vs Corinthians?

Flamengo vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.