Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultMirassol to win ✗58% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Mirassol vs Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vitoria travel to face Mirassol on Sunday 13 September in the Serie A – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Mirassol are 14th, lower half, on 40 points after 34 matches; Vitoria are 15th (lower half) with 38. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mirassol, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Coritiba, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Vitoria, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gremio, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mirassol 1.7 xG, Vitoria 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mirassol 58%, draw 21%, Vitoria 21%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mirassol to win (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirassol 1–0 Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mirassol58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.50
Vitoria21%fair 4.69 · @4.50
2.52Expected goals
1.66Mirassol xG
0.86Vitoria xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Mirassol 1.7 – 0.9 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirassol to win✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
Mirassol (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Vitoria +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Mirassol to score first✗
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirassol / FT Mirassol✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Mirassol – last 6
WLDDDL
6 Sep
@ Coritiba
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Flamengo
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Palmeiras
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Santos
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ LDU de Quito
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Flamengo
1–5
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vitoria – last 6
WLLLLW
8 Sep
vs Gremio
1–0
W
3 Sep
vs Vasco DA Gama
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Atletico-MG
1–2
L
27 Aug
@ Vasco DA Gama
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Bahia
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Botafogo
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirassol and Vitoria.
Our pick is Mirassol to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Mirassol vs Vitoria?
On our numbers Mirassol have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vitoria 21%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Vitoria?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–0 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mirassol vs Vitoria?
Mirassol vs Vitoria (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
