Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruzeiro to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Santos vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Santos v Cruzeiro in the Serie A, played at Estadio Urbano Caldeira. In the table, Santos are 9th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Cruzeiro are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Santos, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico-MG, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cruzeiro, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atletico Paranaense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Santos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Cruzeiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.4 xG, Cruzeiro 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 37%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 40%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 1–1 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos37%fair 2.70 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Cruzeiro40%fair 2.48 · @2.40
2.94Expected goals
1.43Santos xG
1.51Cruzeiro xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Santos 1.4 – 1.5 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✗
40%
2.48
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Draw no bet
Cruzeiro (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Santos +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Cruzeiro to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Santos – last 6
WWDWLD
9 Sep
vs Atletico-MG
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Internacional
3–2
W
3 Sep
vs Palmeiras
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Corinthians
1–0
W
27 Aug
@ Palmeiras
0–3
L
23 Aug
vs Mirassol
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cruzeiro – last 6
WLLDWL
6 Sep
vs Atletico Paranaense
3–1
W
2 Sep
@ Atletico-MG
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–3
L
26 Aug
vs Atletico-MG
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Flamengo
2–1
W
20 Aug
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and Cruzeiro.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Santos vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Santos have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruzeiro 40%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Cruzeiro?
Santos vs Cruzeiro (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Urbano Caldeira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.