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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santos v Cruzeiro: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos

WWDWL
2–1
FT
Santos 37%Draw 23%Cruzeiro 40% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.51
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultCruzeiro to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62

Santos vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Santos v Cruzeiro in the Serie A, played at Estadio Urbano Caldeira. In the table, Santos are 9th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Cruzeiro are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Santos, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico-MG, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Cruzeiro, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atletico Paranaense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Santos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Cruzeiro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.4 xG, Cruzeiro 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 37%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 1–1 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santos37%fair 2.70 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Cruzeiro40%fair 2.48 · @2.40
2.94Expected goals
1.43Santos xG
1.51Cruzeiro xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Santos 1.4 – 1.5 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCruzeiro to win ✗40%2.482.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.65
Draw no betCruzeiro (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapSantos +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreCruzeiro to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.62–

Recent results

Santos – last 6

WWDWLD
9 Sepvs Atletico-MG2–0W
6 Sep@ Internacional3–2W
3 Sepvs Palmeiras0–0D
30 Aug@ Corinthians1–0W
27 Aug@ Palmeiras0–3L
23 Augvs Mirassol1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cruzeiro – last 6

WLLDWL
6 Sepvs Atletico Paranaense3–1W
2 Sep@ Atletico-MG1–2L
30 Aug@ Vasco DA Gama1–3L
26 Augvs Atletico-MG1–1D
23 Augvs Flamengo2–1W
20 Aug@ Flamengo1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Santos and Cruzeiro.

Santos vs Cruzeiro head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santos vs Cruzeiro?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Santos vs Cruzeiro?

On our numbers Santos have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruzeiro 40%.

How many goals will there be in Santos vs Cruzeiro?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santos vs Cruzeiro?

Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Santos vs Cruzeiro?

Santos vs Cruzeiro (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Urbano Caldeira.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.