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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fluminense v Coritiba: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Estádio do Maracanã

Fluminense

WLLWW
4–0
FT

Coritiba

LDLWW
Fluminense 69%Draw 22%Coritiba 10% Expected goals 2.15 – 0.71
69%
Betarazi pick

Fluminense to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultFluminense to win ✓69% · @1.44
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓91% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62

Fluminense vs Coritiba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Coritiba travel to face Fluminense on Friday 9 October in the Serie A, with Estádio do Maracanã the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Fluminense are 4th, among the top four, on 57 points after 34 matches; Coritiba are 12th (lower half) with 42. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Fluminense, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Corinthians, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Coritiba, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Vasco DA Gama, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Coritiba 1–1 Fluminense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fluminense 2.1 xG, Coritiba 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fluminense 69%, draw 22%, Coritiba 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Fluminense to win (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fluminense 2–0 Coritiba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fluminense69%fair 1.45 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.00
Coritiba10%fair 10.53 · @6.00
2.86Expected goals
2.15Fluminense xG
0.71Coritiba xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Fluminense 2.1 – 0.7 Coritiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFluminense to win ✓69%1.451.44
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓91%1.101.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.961.85
Draw no betFluminense (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapFluminense -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreFluminense to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultFluminense ahead at half-time ✓50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fluminense / FT Fluminense ✓46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.62–

Recent results

Fluminense – last 6

WLLWWD
20 Sep@ Corinthians3–1W
15 Sep@ Platense1–2L
12 Sep@ Atletico-MG1–3L
8 Sepvs Platense2–0W
6 Sepvs Vasco DA Gama1–0W
30 Aug@ Atletico Paranaense3–3D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Coritiba – last 6

LDLWWD
20 Sep@ Vasco DA Gama0–5L
12 Sepvs Atletico Paranaense3–3D
6 Sepvs Mirassol1–2L
1 Sep@ Remo3–2W
23 Augvs Corinthians2–1W
16 Aug@ Sao Paulo1–1D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Coritiba v Fluminense1–1
Fluminense vs Coritiba head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

League hub
FT Atletico Paranaense2 Atletico-MG2 143%2.05X24%3.00233%3.60 1.4–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.80 ✓
FT Palmeiras1 Bahia0 166%1.53X21%4.00213%5.00 1.9–0.7xG 1Palmeiras to win 66%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Coritiba?

Our pick is Fluminense to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Fluminense vs Coritiba?

On our numbers Fluminense have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Coritiba 10%.

How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Coritiba?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Coritiba?

Our predicted score is Fluminense 2–0 Coritiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Fluminense vs Coritiba?

Fluminense vs Coritiba (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.