Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Botafogo welcome Chapecoense-sc to Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos for a Serie A fixture on Saturday 17 October (22:00 WAT). In the table, Botafogo are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Chapecoense-sc are 20th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Botafogo, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Coritiba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Chapecoense-sc, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Atletico Paranaense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Chapecoense-sc 2–0 Botafogo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Botafogo 1 win, Chapecoense-sc 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo 2.4 xG, Chapecoense-sc 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo 73%, draw 19%, Chapecoense-sc 9%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Botafogo to win (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo 2–0 Chapecoense-sc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo73%fair 1.38 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @5.00
Chapecoense-sc9%fair 11.44 · @7.50
3.08Expected goals
2.35Botafogo xG
0.73Chapecoense-sc xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Botafogo 2.4 – 0.7 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Botafogo to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chapecoense-sc 9%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 2–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
