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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico-MG v Cruzeiro: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Arena MRV
0–1
FT
Atletico-MG 42%Draw 23%Cruzeiro 36% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.33
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico-MG to win ✗42% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45

Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico-MG welcome Cruzeiro to Arena MRV for a Serie A fixture on Thursday 29 October (23:30 WAT). In the table, Atletico-MG are 7th, upper half, on 50 points after 34 matches; Cruzeiro are 3rd (among the top four) with 60.

Current form

Atletico-MG, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Flamengo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Cruzeiro, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Remo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Sep 2026) it ended Atletico-MG 2–1 Cruzeiro. The last 3 head-to-heads: Atletico-MG 2 wins, Cruzeiro 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico-MG 1.5 xG, Cruzeiro 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico-MG 42%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico-MG 1–1 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico-MG42%fair 2.39 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.25
Cruzeiro36%fair 2.81 · @2.70
2.80Expected goals
1.47Atletico-MG xG
1.33Cruzeiro xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Atletico-MG 1.5 – 1.3 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico-MG to win ✗42%2.392.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.60
Draw no betAtletico-MG (draw no bet) ✗54%1.85–
Asian handicapCruzeiro +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreAtletico-MG to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico-MG / FT Atletico-MG ✗24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.45–

Recent results

Atletico-MG – last 6

LLWWWD
27 Oct@ Flamengo2–3L
21 Oct@ Atletico Torque0–2L
17 Octvs Coritiba1–0W
14 Octvs Atletico Torque3–0W
11 Octvs Santos2–1W
9 Oct@ Atletico Paranaense2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cruzeiro – last 6

WWLWWL
24 Octvs Remo1–0W
18 Oct@ Gremio4–2W
13 Oct@ RB Bragantino2–4L
8 Octvs Sao Paulo2–0W
20 Sep@ Vitoria3–1W
13 Sep@ Santos1–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Sep 2026Atletico-MG v Cruzeiro2–1
26 Aug 2026Cruzeiro v Atletico-MG1–1
3 May 2026Cruzeiro v Atletico-MG1–3
Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?

On our numbers Atletico-MG have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruzeiro 36%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?

Our predicted score is Atletico-MG 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?

Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena MRV.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.