Coritiba v Vitoria Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCoritiba to win ✓39% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.06

Coritiba vs Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:30 WAT, Thursday 29 October: Coritiba v Vitoria in the Serie A, played at Estádio Couto Pereira. In the table, Coritiba are 12th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Vitoria are 15th (lower half) with 38.

Current form

Coritiba, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gremio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Vitoria, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Paranaense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Vitoria, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Coritiba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Coritiba 1.3 xG, Vitoria 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Coritiba 39%, draw 23%, Vitoria 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Vitoria to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coritiba 1–1 Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Coritiba39%fair 2.55 · @2.25

Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20

Vitoria38%fair 2.63 · @3.00

2.64Expected goals

1.33Coritiba xG

1.31Vitoria xG

56%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

0–19%

2–18%

1–28%

0–07%

From our goals model: Coritiba 1.3 – 1.3 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Coritiba to win ✓	39%	2.55	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.77	1.75
Draw no bet	Coritiba (draw no bet) ✓	51%	1.97	–
Asian handicap	Vitoria +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.97	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Coritiba to score first ✓	47%	2.13	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Coritiba / FT Coritiba ✗	22%	4.61	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.06	–

Coritiba – last 6

LLDLLD

26 Oct	vs Gremio	0–1	L
17 Oct	@ Atletico-MG	0–1	L
12 Oct	vs Botafogo	1–1	D
9 Oct	@ Fluminense	0–4	L
20 Sep	@ Vasco DA Gama	0–5	L
12 Sep	vs Atletico Paranaense	3–3	D

0.7Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Vitoria – last 6

DDLWLD

24 Oct	vs Atletico Paranaense	1–1	D
20 Oct	@ Corinthians	1–1	D
11 Oct	@ Sao Paulo	1–2	L
8 Oct	vs Chapecoense-sc	4–0	W
20 Sep	vs Cruzeiro	1–3	L
13 Sep	@ Mirassol	2–2	D

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	+42	76
2	Palmeiras	34	21	10	3	+39	73
3	Cruzeiro	34	18	6	10	+7	60
4	Fluminense	34	16	9	9	+13	57
5	Atletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	+8	54
6	Bahia	34	14	11	9	+5	53
7	Atletico-MG	34	14	8	12	+4	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	+5	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	+1	47
10	Sao Paulo	34	12	8	14	0	44
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	-7	42
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	-11	42
13	Vasco DA Gama	33	11	8	14	-7	41
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	-9	40
15	Vitoria	34	10	8	16	-16	38
16	Internacional	34	9	11	14	-4	38
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	-6	37
18	Gremio	34	9	10	15	-9	37
19	Remo	34	6	11	17	-20	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	33	4	9	20	-35	21

Team

Pts

+42

+39

+13

-7

-11

-7

-9

-16

-4

-6

-9

-20

-35

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Vitoria?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Coritiba vs Vitoria?

On our numbers Coritiba have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vitoria 38%.

How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Vitoria?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Vitoria?

Our predicted score is Coritiba 1–1 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Coritiba vs Vitoria?

Coritiba vs Vitoria (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Couto Pereira.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Coritiba v Vitoria: numbers & prediction