Club Queretaro 21%Draw 23%Cruz Azul 56%Expected goals 1.12 – 1.90
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✗56% · @1.75
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 22 April the Liga MX brings Club Queretaro against Cruz Azul at Estadio La Corregidora. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Club Queretaro are 12th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Cruz Azul are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Club Queretaro, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mazatlán, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cruz Azul, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Tijuana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Club Queretaro, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Cruz Azul.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Queretaro 1.1 xG, Cruz Azul 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Queretaro 21%, draw 23%, Cruz Azul 56%.
Lower-risk option: Cruz Azul or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Queretaro 1–1 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Queretaro21%fair 4.68 · @4.20
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.85
Cruz Azul56%fair 1.80 · @1.75
3.02Expected goals
1.12Club Queretaro xG
1.90Cruz Azul xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Club Queretaro 1.1 – 1.9 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Club Queretaro
Cruz Azul
Attack vs Liga MX average
-20%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.24
2.04
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✗
56%
1.80
1.75
Double chance
Cruz Azul or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.60
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Club Queretaro +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
Cruz Azul to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Club Queretaro – last 6
DWDWDD
18 Apr
@ Mazatlán
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Necaxa
3–1
W
8 Apr
vs FC Juarez
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Toluca
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Atlas
0–0
D
16 Mar
@ Tigres UANL
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul – last 6
DDDLLD
19 Apr
vs Club Tijuana
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Los Angeles FC
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Club America
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Los Angeles FC
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Pachuca
1–2
L
21 Mar
@ Mazatlán
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Queretaro and Cruz Azul.
What is the prediction for Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Club Queretaro have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruz Azul 56%.
How many goals will there be in Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Club Queretaro 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Corregidora.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leon2