Leon vs Club America: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
04:06 WAT, Wednesday 22 April: Leon v Club America in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Leon.
Current form
Leon, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Juarez, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Club America, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Toluca, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Leon, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Club America.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leon 1.3 xG, Club America 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leon 31%, draw 24%, Club America 45%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leon 1–1 Club America. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leon31%fair 3.23 · @3.15
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.35
Club America45%fair 2.23 · @2.20
2.99Expected goals
1.35Leon xG
1.65Club America xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Leon 1.3 – 1.6 Club America expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leon
Club America
Attack vs Liga MX average
-3%
+42%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.61
1.94
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club America to win✓
45%
2.23
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.77
Draw no bet
Club America (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Leon +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.09
First team to score
Club America to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club America / FT Club America✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Leon – last 6
WWWWLL
19 Apr
vs FC Juarez
3–1
W
11 Apr
@ Puebla
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Atlas
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–5
L
15 Mar
vs Club Tijuana
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Club America – last 6
WLDDDL
19 Apr
vs Toluca
2–1
W
15 Apr
vs Nashville SC
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Cruz Azul
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Nashville SC
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Santos Laguna
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leon and Club America.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Leon vs Club America?
On our numbers Leon have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Club America 45%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs Club America?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs Club America?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–1 Club America, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Leon vs Club America?
Leon vs Club America (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
