Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDerry City to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Derry City vs Bohemians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bohemians travel to face Derry City on Friday 20 February in the Premier Division, with The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Bohemians are 2nd (among the top four) with 65. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.4 xG, Bohemians 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 42%, draw 27%, Bohemians 31%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 Bohemians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.00
Bohemians31%fair 3.19 · @3.25
2.62Expected goals
1.40Derry City xG
1.21Bohemians xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.4 – 1.2 Bohemians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derry City to win✗
42%
2.38
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Derry City (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Bohemians +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.39
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.06
First team to score
Derry City to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derry City / FT Derry City✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Derry City – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Dundalk
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bohemians
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derry City and Bohemians.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Bohemians?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Derry City vs Bohemians?
On our numbers Derry City have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bohemians 31%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Bohemians?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Bohemians?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Bohemians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Bohemians?
Derry City vs Bohemians (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
