Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Waterford to win @ 1.93 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWaterford to win ✗60% · @1.93
Double chanceWaterford or draw ✓82% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Waterford vs Sligo Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 February the Premier Division brings Waterford against Sligo Rovers at Regional Sports Centre. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Waterford are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 36 matches; Sligo Rovers are 10th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waterford 2.0 xG, Sligo Rovers 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waterford 60%, draw 22%, Sligo Rovers 18%.
Lower-risk option: Waterford or draw (82%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.66.
Price worth noting: Waterford to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Waterford or draw (82%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterford 2–0 Sligo Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waterford60%fair 1.66 · @1.93
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.40
Sligo Rovers18%fair 5.65 · @3.50
2.94Expected goals
2.04Waterford xG
0.91Sligo Rovers xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Waterford 2.0 – 0.9 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waterford to win✗
60%
1.66
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Waterford or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.66
Draw no bet
Waterford (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Waterford -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.13
First team to score
Waterford to score first✗
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Waterford ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waterford / FT Waterford✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Waterford – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Drogheda United
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sligo Rovers
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waterford and Sligo Rovers.
What is the prediction for Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
Our pick is Waterford or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
On our numbers Waterford have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sligo Rovers 18%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
Our predicted score is Waterford 2–0 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
Waterford vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
