Value bet: Drogheda United to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDundalk to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Dundalk vs Drogheda United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dundalk welcome Drogheda United to Oriel Park for a Premier Division fixture on Friday 20 February (21:00 WAT). In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Drogheda United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 1.5 xG, Drogheda United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 43%, draw 25%, Drogheda United 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Drogheda United to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 1–1 Drogheda United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dundalk43%fair 2.30 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.20
Drogheda United32%fair 3.14 · @3.40
2.72Expected goals
1.49Dundalk xG
1.23Drogheda United xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.5 – 1.2 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundalk to win✗
43%
2.30
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Dundalk (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Drogheda United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Dundalk to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundalk / FT Dundalk✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Dundalk – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Derry City
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Drogheda United – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Waterford
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dundalk and Drogheda United.
What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Drogheda United 32%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Drogheda United?
Dundalk vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
