Derry City vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Waterford travel to face Derry City on Friday 27 February in the Premier Division, with The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Waterford are 7th (lower half) with 43.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.6 xG, Waterford 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 57%, draw 23%, Waterford 20%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City57%fair 1.75 · @1.46
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @4.10
Waterford20%fair 5.07 · @7.00
2.56Expected goals
1.56Derry City xG
1.00Waterford xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.6 – 1.0 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derry City to win✓
57%
1.75
1.46
Double chance
Derry City or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.93
Draw no bet
Derry City (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Waterford +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Derry City to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derry City / FT Derry City✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Derry City – last 2
LD
20 Feb
vs Bohemians
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Dundalk
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Waterford – last 2
DL
20 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ Drogheda United
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derry City and Waterford.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Waterford?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Derry City vs Waterford?
On our numbers Derry City have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Waterford 20%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Waterford?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Waterford?
Derry City vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
