Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 27 February: St Patrick's Athl. v Dundalk in the Premier Division, played at Richmond Park. In the table, St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Dundalk are 6th (lower half) with 45. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dundalk, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shamrock Rovers, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St Patrick's Athl. 1.6 xG, Dundalk 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St Patrick's Athl. 57%, draw 23%, Dundalk 20%.
Lower-risk option: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Dundalk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St Patrick's Athl.57%fair 1.77 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.55
Dundalk20%fair 4.96 · @5.00
2.54Expected goals
1.64St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.90Dundalk xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.6 – 0.9 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St Patrick's Athl. to win✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Double chance
St Patrick's Athl. or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
St Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Dundalk +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
St Patrick's Athl. to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl.✓
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
St Patrick's Athl. – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dundalk – last 3
DDD
23 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Drogheda United
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Derry City
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St Patrick's Athl. and Dundalk.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dundalk 20%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
