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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Drogheda United v Shelbourne: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Weavers Park
Drogheda United 35%Draw 27%Shelbourne 39% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.20
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Drogheda United to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultShelbourne to win ✓39% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.66

Drogheda United vs Shelbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Drogheda United welcome Shelbourne to Weavers Park for a Premier Division fixture on Friday 27 February (20:45 WAT). In the table, Drogheda United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; Shelbourne are 4th (among the top four) with 49.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Drogheda United 1.2 xG, Shelbourne 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Drogheda United 35%, draw 27%, Shelbourne 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Drogheda United to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Drogheda United 1–1 Shelbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Drogheda United35%fair 2.89 · @3.40
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.05
Shelbourne39%fair 2.59 · @2.22
2.36Expected goals
1.16Drogheda United xG
1.20Shelbourne xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.2 – 1.2 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShelbourne to win ✓39%2.592.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.942.05 ▲
Draw no betShelbourne (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapDrogheda United +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.651.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.04
First team to scoreShelbourne to score first ✗46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne ✗21%4.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.66–

Recent results

Drogheda United – last 2

DW
20 Feb@ Dundalk1–1D
13 Febvs Waterford2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Shelbourne – last 1

D
20 Febvs Galway United1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Drogheda United and Shelbourne.

Drogheda United vs Shelbourne head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

On our numbers Drogheda United have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Shelbourne 39%.

How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–1 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

Drogheda United vs Shelbourne (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.