Galway United vs Dundalk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 March the Premier Division brings Galway United against Dundalk at Eamonn Deacy Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Galway United are 8th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; Dundalk are 6th (lower half) with 45. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Galway United, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to St Patrick's Athl., away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Dundalk, last 4: LDDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to St Patrick's Athl., away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Galway United, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Dundalk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Galway United 1.4 xG, Dundalk 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Galway United 43%, draw 26%, Dundalk 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Galway United 1–1 Dundalk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Galway United43%fair 2.32 · @2.32
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.15
Dundalk31%fair 3.21 · @3.10
2.60Expected goals
1.41Galway United xG
1.19Dundalk xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–27%
0–07%
From our goals model: Galway United 1.4 – 1.2 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Galway United to win✗
43%
2.32
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Draw no bet
Galway United (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Dundalk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Galway United to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Galway United / FT Galway United✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
Galway United – last 3
LWD
2 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Shelbourne
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dundalk – last 4
LDDD
27 Feb
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–4
L
23 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Drogheda United
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Derry City
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Galway United and Dundalk.
What is the prediction for Galway United vs Dundalk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Galway United vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Galway United have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dundalk 31%.
How many goals will there be in Galway United vs Dundalk?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Galway United vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Galway United 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Galway United vs Dundalk?
Galway United vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Eamonn Deacy Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
