Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Derry City travel to face Shamrock Rovers on Friday 6 March in the Premier Division, with Tallaght Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Shamrock Rovers are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 36 matches; Derry City are 5th (upper half) with 48. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shamrock Rovers, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Bohemians, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Derry City, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Waterford, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shamrock Rovers 1.6 xG, Derry City 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shamrock Rovers 43%, draw 26%, Derry City 31%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.40, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shamrock Rovers43%fair 2.33 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.20
Derry City31%fair 3.20 · @3.25
2.84Expected goals
1.56Shamrock Rovers xG
1.28Derry City xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–17%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 1.6 – 1.3 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shamrock Rovers to win✓
43%
2.33
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Shamrock Rovers (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Derry City +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.05
First team to score
Shamrock Rovers to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shamrock Rovers / FT Shamrock Rovers✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
Shamrock Rovers – last 3
LDW
27 Feb
@ Bohemians
2–3
L
23 Feb
vs Dundalk
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Derry City – last 3
WLD
27 Feb
vs Waterford
4–2
W
20 Feb
vs Bohemians
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Dundalk
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City.
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Derry City 31%.
How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City?
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
