Value bet: St Patrick's Athl. to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShelbourne to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.37
Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Friday 6 March: Shelbourne v St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division, played at Tolka Park. In the table, Shelbourne are 4th, among the top four, on 49 points after 36 matches; St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd (among the top four) with 60.
Current form
St Patrick's Athl., last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Galway United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 1.2 xG, St Patrick's Athl. 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 41%, draw 26%, St Patrick's Athl. 33%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: St Patrick's Athl. to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shelbourne41%fair 2.43 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.25
St Patrick's Athl.33%fair 3.07 · @3.50
2.37Expected goals
1.23Shelbourne xG
1.14St Patrick's Athl. xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.2 – 1.1 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shelbourne to win✗
41%
2.43
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Draw no bet
Shelbourne (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
St Patrick's Athl. +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Shelbourne to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.37
–
Recent results
Shelbourne – last 2
WD
27 Feb
@ Drogheda United
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Galway United
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
St Patrick's Athl. – last 3
WWL
2 Mar
vs Galway United
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Dundalk
4–0
W
20 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shelbourne and St Patrick's Athl..
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and St Patrick's Athl. 33%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
